There is a simple fact about technology. It always moves forward. When Steve Jobs introduced the concept of the iPod and iTunes, Sony – the company best positioned to develop them because of its huge music inventory – thought Jobs was insane and declined his offer.
When Apple introduced the MacBook Air without a disk drive, he said it wouldn’t be missed. Everything would be digital.
He was right.
Those stories came back to me when I read that Steven Guggenheimer, coined Microsoft’s Chief Evangelist, said the desktop computer is unlikely to completely go away.
Now, Guggenheimer did note that Microsoft has been de-emphasizing the desktop but that it will always be needed when working with spreadsheets and the like.
Change is a difficult concept to accept for most of us, and most of us never foresaw the technological explosion we’ve seen in recent years. (Do you realize it’s only been a little over 10 years since the first iPod appeared?)
My feeling is that Guggenheimer and Microsoft do sense that the desktop will eventually go away as it’s becoming representative of a bygone era.
They are just having trouble accepting it.